SA 2010: Overview and Predictions Thursday, March 18, 2010

Tomorrow is the 2010 South Australian election. My coverage here has been exclusively on the South Australian upper house, the Legislative Council.

Overview
Blog posts I written about #sa2010 are:

• initial overview
• what vote a minor party needs to win a seat
  
• analysis of the group voting tickets - which parties did best (and worst)
• simlulation using the GVT and newspoll and galaxy
• batch simulations teasing out the micro-party independent field 1 2

Predictions
I predict that the result from the Legislative Council election tomorrow will be: Liberals 5, Labor 4, Greens 1 and Family First 1.

However, I would not be surprised if the Liberals only get 4, with the extra seat going to the Australian Greens, Dignity for Disability or David Winderlich.

Good luck to all the candidates and their workers - your hard-work, often unrewarded, keeps this country great!

Now let's never mention SA again.